If we consider each point about the letter issued by MNDAA, saying that it is not related to NUG, it is Chinese. There are actually a lot of relationships with NUG on the ground. At the very least, the NUG has provided manpower support to the MNDAA, and the MNDAA has provided arms support to the NUG. military It is known that there are political agreements. But China doesn’t want to be bound by it, so it means that China issued the letter.
As for not attacking Mandalay and Taunggyi, MNDAA never said that those cities would be attacked. MNDAA’s main area is Laukkai and Kukkot Pansai regions on the border between North Shan and China. Now that they can even conquer Lasho, their territory needs to expand even more. If they continue to attack either Mandalay or South Shan, it may lead to territorial disputes with other revolutionary groups. Therefore, MNDAA is less likely to attack Mandalay and Taunggyi by themselves if China does not pressure them. But it may be that the teams that will actually fight will be given the support they need later. It is written in the letter that it will not fight. It is not written that it is not supported.
And holding the right to self-defense means that if the military council comes to fight, they must fight back. The MNDAA said they would talk about peace, but the military council would never talk. At least the captured towns and villages would still be bombarded by air. Now it’s broken. Therefore, if the military council does not cease fire, the MNDAA has the right to attack again.
Whether that letter is issued or not Whether or not the MNDAA is able to occupy major cities such as Lashio and Lokai, the offensive is stopped and priority is given to administration and rehabilitation. They need a lot of help from China for those jobs. Therefore, I think that the letter will be published that will be customized by China.
