Karen State While the public is still paying attention to the news from Myawati, the pace of war in Kachin State and Rakhine State has decreased significantly. In Rakhine State, since the capture of Rathetaung last March, there has been little activity. Some believe that they are trying to launch an offensive in southern Rakhine State, where the Western Regional Military Headquarters is located, while others speculate that the AA is tired of the war. In Kachin State, the KIA has been quiet since seizing the border trade town of Segel this month. Looking at this situation, it can be concluded that even the big EAOs will not be able to fight for more than one month if they really fight the army.
Soon the rainy season will come. Because Myanmar’s rainy season is severe, neither side usually starts fighting in the rain, so they gather their strength. Therefore, I don’t think there will be much difference in the military situation in the following months.
